Home RSS [oo]<

Musings of a Madman

Why the title?  It all started with a chance meeting, and the opportunity to help a stranger and a response that left me feeling the need to write about it.

Full index

Article: 20200423 (Thu, 23-Apr-2020, 00:10)

Share on Facebook
Dangerous nonsense about COVID-19 abounds.

Truth or Consequences

Dangerous garbage is putting us at risk

Jeez there is so much nonsense about SARS CoV 2.  People so scared they are clinging to ridiculous notions for comfort.  Ridiculous notions which detract from the simple truths, and are therefore dangerous.

There is no easy way out.  There is no magic bullet discovered so far (because for sure the medical profession would be using it if there were), and some of the wives tales out there are downright lethal in themselves.  "Take white iodine."  (WTF is 'white iodine'?  Iodine is purple/brown in crystal form and brown/amber in solution.  And it is toxic, which is why it is used a disinfectant.)  "Drink warm water."  "Take hot baths."  "Drink bleach."  (There's a Darwin award waiting for someone in that one.)  And NO the UK didn't pass the peak of deaths 2 weeks ago.  We might have reached it, and plateaud for a week so far - which coincides with slowed rate attributed to the massive reduction in social interaction starting 3 weeks before that in mid March - but we did not pass it.  The rate is not yet falling significantly.  There might be just the slightest hint of a declining trend, but that can not be determined yet.  It could just be a minor ripple in the daily figures.

No I am not qualified in epidemiology, but I am well enough versed in formal subjects (not least statistics) to know that the direction of what those who are say makes a good degree of sense (and certainly is not counter to what the majority of experts suggest).  There may be questions, with the benefit of hindsight as to whether the tactics of association could have been better or more delicately handled, but ONLY with hindsight.  Right now the human world is one big biochemistry experiment, and no-one knows for sure what the outcome will be until there is one.  The biggest simple failure that I can see is not the lock-down (damned silly name, but there is no better available), but that the government chose - and indeed continues to choose - to work with less than complete data (and specifically no accurate baseline) about the population's infection status rate by not investing in broad testing procedures sooner.